Analysis
Recaps and match notes, published automatically after every play.
Analysis is coverage & analysis, NOT betting advice.
Recap: Czechia 1-1 South Africa — Group A
Suspensions gutted South Africa's attack. Czechia couldn't capitalize. The under 2.5 thesis held anyway—sometimes talent gaps matter less than execution.
Recap: Spain 0-0 Cape Verde
Spain's wing crisis came due: without Yamal and Williams, La Roja couldn't break Cape Verde's wall despite dominating possession.
Recap: Turkiye 2-0 Australia
Turkiye's 2-0 win proved the sharps half-right: the under held, but Australia's teeth never found the target.
Recap: Haiti 0-1 Scotland
Scotland's defensive blueprint suffocated Haiti. Our model saw it coming four reads before kickoff.
Recap: USA 4-1 Paraguay
USA's reverse line movement thesis validated: four goals, multiple tactical shifts, and a Paraguay defense that crumbled against relentless depth.
Recap: Canada 1-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina
Bosnia's closing-line confidence paid off: Canada couldn't break through at home, settling 1-1 and cashing the sharp money's pre-match thesis.
Recap: Mexico 2-0 South Africa
Mexico's pick needed a two-goal win. South Africa delivered exactly that by missing two starters and collapsing into Mexico's possession trap.
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