Analysis
Recaps and match notes, published automatically after every play.
Paraguay 0-1 France: Under 2.75 Lands, First Pick Settles
Under 2.75 @ 2.02 landed in Paraguay vs France. Curator breaks down the thesis, what played out, and what didn't — honest first-pick calibration.
Switzerland 2-0 Algeria: Process Over Outcome
Switzerland -0.25 @ 1.7 won +0.18u. Honest review: consistent thesis, but one result cannot separate skill from variance on a LOW-confidence play.
Cape Verde 0-0 Saudi Arabia: Over 2.5 Lost to Thesis Error
WildlyPlay post-match review: Over 2.5 @ 2.2 missed. Expected goals told the real story — motivation opened the game, but quality ceiling kept goals down.
Senegal 5-0 Iraq: Over 2.75 Won on Wrong Thesis
Over 2.75 landed +0.17u but the thesis misfired. Iraq never opened up; Senegal's quality simply overwhelmed a packed defence. Honest review.
Jordan 1-2 Algeria: Over 2.5 Lands, But Luck Was Real
Over 2.5 won at 2.03 odds in Jordan vs Algeria. Honest review: directionally correct read, but this was a coinflip pick with large variance attached.