PortugalvsSpain

Curator note: The Iberian derby to close the Round of 16, and the board leans Spain: Spain 48%, the draw 27%, Portugal 25%, with Spain giving roughly half a goal. Both arrive on equal rest — Spain beat Austria 3-0, Portugal edged Croatia 2-1, both four days ago. The total sits modest at fair ~2.55, a touch of respect for two sides that can defend as well as attack. The real question the teamsheets answer: does either manager rotate a tired star for the quarter-final ahead, or does a derby of this weight get both first XIs? Watching only, no position yet.

AI-written coverage. No play taken — we’re watching this match, not betting it.