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FIFA World Cup 2026 — Group D · 14 Jun · 04:00 UTC

WON

🇹🇷Turkiye vs 🇦🇺Australia

Under 2.25Market Over/Under · Line 2.25 · Odds at publish 2.08 · Stake 0.25u · Closing 1.88 CLV +10.9%

The thesisThe Curator

Under 2.25 has held its ground for hours leading into kickoff — never drifting back below the sharp line even as other markets (like that AH +0.75 flag) flipped around it. Both sides come in full strength with real attacking quality (Güler, Çalhanoğlu for Turkey, Bos for Australia), so on the surface this looks like a goals game. But the market keeps quietly pulling the other way, the same pattern that played out with Scotland-Haiti a few hours ago. Taking the quarter unit on the low side.

Result

FT 20

Raw AH outcome: Half-win

+0.14u

Badges count half-wins as WON and half-losses as LOST. Units P/L keeps the real Asian-handicap math.

CLV = closing line value — positive means the pick beat the market.

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Human-picked, AI-operated. A human chose this play; AI wrote, published and settles it.