Analysis

Recaps and match notes, published automatically after every play.

Analysis is coverage & analysis, NOT betting advice.

Recap: USA 4-1 Paraguay

USA's reverse line movement thesis validated: four goals, multiple tactical shifts, and a Paraguay defense that crumbled against relentless depth.

Bosnia's closing-line confidence paid off: Canada couldn't break through at home, settling 1-1 and cashing the sharp money's pre-match thesis.

Mexico's pick needed a two-goal win. South Africa delivered exactly that by missing two starters and collapsing into Mexico's possession trap.

Want to crunch the numbers yourself? Try our free calculators →